Friday, June 21, 2019

Contrary Indicators: The Peculiar Orthodoxy of Fake News


We live in strange times. Advocacy journalism has rendered an entire category of media nigh worthless, since we wallow in a sea of Fake News written by activist True Believers with bylines.

But there is a useful concept from the hyper-competitive world of stock market daytraders, which is that of the contrary indicator: something whose price reliably moves in the opposite direction of what you trade in, so it can be predictive in the inverse.

And then of course you get the notion of people or institutions as contrary indicators: they reliably do exactly the wrong thing, so if you learn that they’re making a move, then you should do the opposite.

So that takes us to the whole pro-vax and anti-vax thing, which is a rabbit hole that I have carefully steered clear of. But since the anti-vax position seemed to be the province of vapid New Age SWPL types, I was prejudiced against it.

That all changed last month, when Twitter went all-in on the pro-vax side. They are such a hyper-partisan, SJW-controlled organization that if a guy with a penis and a Y-chromosome says he’s a woman, they think you shouldn’t even be allowed to question it.

And since they make a habit of inverting the truth, if they want to hide anti-vax content, then that tells me that the vaccine industry apparently has something to hide -- and it’s probably somehow anti-American and anti-Christian.

So congratulations, Twitter! You finally managed to do what no one else could do: make me question the utility and safety of vaccines. It’s almost something to be proud of, since it means that I think you’re reliable.

Reliably wrong.

A contrary indicator.

2 comments:

  1. The vax issue is interesting, as it has never shown itself to be a right/left issue, as most other things in our political have done. So it has the effect of creating a lot of cognitive dissonance in people, as they usually just look for who is for and against, and then pick the side they agree with on other issues.

    It's a good example of how the left/right model of the recent decades is breaking down and becoming irrelevant.

    Personally I've also developed a lot of skepticism of vaccines, as I've also been red-pilled on so many other things, like climate change, nutrition, medicine, etc. But it's also one of the more frustrating areas as we see so many people who are red-pilled on much of our world, and yet they can't open their mind to the problems here. They become NPCs, all too often. I think some of that is reflexive as they just go pro-vax, as the most visible anti-vax crowd has generally been quite lefty.


    And finally, the majority on both sides tend to treat it in a dichotomous fashion. No nuance allowed. Either they're totally bad, or they've saved so many lives so you can't criticize them, or you're just an uneducated, unsophisticated boob. Aargh.

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    Replies
    1. Well I think reflexive trust of scientists is illogical, more of a lab-coat fetish than a respect for the scientific method (and scientists themselves often have more of the former than the latter). And that would be true even if it weren't for reproducibility crisis, of which the medical field has been one of the worst offenders.

      So when I see that the Social Justice cult has gone all-in on the pro-vax side, I want to know exactly what the vaccine industry is hiding that makes anti-Western, anti-white, anti-Christian scumbags their biggest cheerleaders.

      Maybe it's as simple as thinking that MOAR VAX will minimize the public health crisis precipitated by their precious open borders. It's rayciss to want to control who enters your country, so it's rayciss not to get all the vaccines.

      Maybe. I wouldn't put it past them to be such simpletons.

      But I'm also not going to assume that's all there is to it.

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